When our leaders get it wrong during the coronavirus pandemic, it's a reminder that anyone can get it wrong.

When one of our leaders breaks the very rules they're asking the rest of us to follow, it's a reminder that all of us, no matter who we are, or the position we hold, are just as fallible. It is a reminder that we should be tolerant of those who make mistakes and don't do what we'd normally expect of them during the coronavirus pandemic. 

NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian admits she didn't isolate after coronavirus test last week - ABC News

It's very easy for us when we see news items to judge others, but in the moment we can all make mistakes and errors in judgement, even our leaders do.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

Dan Andrews flip-flops between using dates and trigger points.

I noticed at one point the Dan Andrews announced the opening up of Victoria would not be based on dates but reaching trigger points.

https://www.news.com.au/national/victoria/news/coronavirus-victoria-new-date-for-step-three-in-melbourne/news-story/f80b425404010ab75273586a872bcbb5

If you were to revisit earlier roadmaps for Victoria you'd notice the next step for easing restrictions was when Victoria reached no new cases for 14 days, yet a few days ago the Victorian government flip-flopped from using the trigger point of now new cases for 14 days to the next step being on the 22nd of November, well over a week later.

From roadmap on the 9th of November.

From roadmap on the 11th of November

As of today there's 13 consecutive days with zero cases of coronavirus in Victoria, tomorrow hopefully that will reach the 14 days. If that happens Victoria would have reached the milestone required for the last step, yet the government has yet again moved the goal posts. You would think reaching a virus free target would be far less arbitrary than a nominated date, yet the government has flip-flopped on Dan Andrews statement. You have to wonder why?

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

An interesting observation. How many coronavirus cases were there that started with a healthcare workers in Victoria?

It occurred to me that an interesting figure would be the number of cases of coronavirus occurred as a result of an infected healthcare worker passing coronavirus on to family, friends and coworkers. This isn't to highlight one group, but to highlight the importance of ensuring our healthcare workers are given the best possible equipment and support to keep themselves and the community safe.

When I was growing up I recall there was the Fairfield Infectious Diseases Hospital and I couldn't help wonder what is done now in terms of infectious diseases. With a relatively low number of cases of coronavirus, a single hospital with the best facilities and controls could keep or minimise infections reaching the community via healthcare workers. It appears there's now infectious disease departments in multiple hospitals which means multiple points of exposure for the community.

As an example, if we look at the most recent outbreak at the East Preston Islamic College, there was a total of 39 infections across 11 (/13) households. The originating case for this outbreak appears to be a healthcare worker from the Box Hill hospital.

As of November 8th there were 3,574 healthcare workers that had been infected. One of these healthcare workers in theory was the origin of possibly 38/39 cases. With a total of 20,345 coronavirus cases so far in Victoria, it's not inconceivable to think that perhaps the majority of coronavirus cases may have come about from healthcare workers if one infected healthcare worker can result in 38/39 cases. This highlights how critical it is to ensure everything that is possible is done to ensure healthcare workers are given everything above and beyond what is needed.

It would certainly be interesting to see what the final number of cases of coronavirus were that started with a healthcare worker as it might highlight where one of the greatest exposures are in terms of the spread of the coronavirus and where more resources could be focused.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

New rule for two visitors to another house is going to confuse people and unlikely to be followed due to confusion.

One thing the Victorian government continues to do that doesn't make sense, is not to treat a household as a single entity. In the last change to restrictions starting at 11:59pm on the 27th of October two people and their dependents could visit another house.

Visitors to the home: Up to two people from
the same household can visit a
household. Once a day you can visit someone
or have visitors. Infants under 12 months are
not included in this cap, and other
dependants can also attend if they cannot be
left unattended or cared for in another
setting. The two people must be from the
same household and 25km rule applies.

What doesn't make sense is if someone in a household is infected with coronavirus then it's possible, probably likely, another person in the household could be infected. If a two people from a household visit another person who is infected and returns to their household they're likely to infect those who didn't visit another person's house. Treating a household as a single entity makes sense, whereas treating the household as separate individuals in terms of activities doesn't.

By enabling the entire household to visit as a single entity the entire entity is exposed, or exposes at the same level. It's also unlikely the people will know, or even have a clue as to what represents "if they cannot be left unattended". When is it that we can leave a child home unattended? I certainly don't know the answer to that and I'm sure most people don't.

Now we have the new rules starting from 11:59pm on the 8th of November and things are just going to get totally confusing for people visiting another household.

Now instead of the two people that could visit another household, we can have two people from two different households visit another house. So of the original two people who could visit previously only one can now visit. Talk about a big step backwards and it really isn't going to make sense to anyone.

You can still only have a maximum of two people to visit per day. Going forward though, those two people don’t need to be from the same household, and they’ll be able to come at different times.
https://www.premier.vic.gov.au/statement-premier-81

This is not progression, it's a backward step.

If you think about this logically with the original two people and their dependents, if one of those people now has to stay home, it means only one person and no dependents should visit and that could be true of the second person who visits. Assuming both visitors have partners then no dependents should need to visit because their partners can look after the dependents. Is this what the government really intended?

Why isn't it that the original two people (and their dependents) could visit and then an additional two people and their dependents visit. This is supported to be about gradually opening up, not having backwards steps.

Perhaps what this shows is the government hasn't thought out the steps as well as they should have.

To go from no visitors to two visitors from the one household then back to one visitor from the household is not a logical progression.

Only those who try to understand the rules and follow the rules will do what the government is asking. The rest of Victorians will see this as silliness and do what they feel is appropriate.

It's also a concern as to how this is going to be monitored and enforced. The only way people would know you had two lots of visitors where partners attended as well as dependents, is if neighbours are really keeping tabs on each other in minute detail and that's being encouraged by the government. That's the type of society you read about in futuristic books, or how The Colony on Netflix has neighbours watching others. I know that's not the society I want for myself, my family and my children.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

PS. The following is the Roadmap summary for Metropolitan Melbourne
https://www.coronavirus.vic.gov.au/sites/default/files/2020-10/Victorias-roadmap-for-reopening-How-we-live-in-metropolitan-Melbourne-FINAL.pdf
There have been changes such as the number of visitors from separate households from 11:59pm, on 8 November 2020 as detailed in the Premier's statement. 

Red-light speed camera reinstallation at Anzac Parade and Todman Avenue, Kensington.

The red-light speed camera has been reinstalled at the intersection of Anzac Parade and Todman Avenue, Kensington. According to the following article the camera was installed in 2011 and removed in 2016 for the construction of the light rail. If you check Google Street View for December 2015 you can see the camera was located in the median strip opposite the 7 Eleven petrol station.

https://www.transport.nsw.gov.au/news-and-events/media-releases/dangerous-driving-given-red-light-kensington

Kelvin Eldridge
www.SpeedCamerarLocations.com.au/nsw/