Some interesting figures on the cost of COVID-19 testing in Victoria.

An interesting article came out recently where pathology practices were lobbying the government to maintain the current charge of $85 per COVID-19 test.

Australia COVID: Pathologists lobby Canberra for massive COVID test subsidy to continue (smh.com.au)

If we look at today's figures for Victoria we see the following.

Number of tests to date: 13,777,569

Number of positive COVID-19 cases to date: 98,130

Coronavirus update for Victoria – 8 November 2021 | health.vic.gov.au

At $85 per COVID-19 test that could equate to a potential cost of  $1.17 billion. I say potential because according to the article only public labs only get half the rebate.

Another interesting figure is the number of positive cases compared to the total number of tests. One case per 140 tests. Again this figure doesn't take into account if a person is positive they'd need multiple tests.

I have to say I'm quite surprised the number of tests per positive case is much lower than I would have thought at 0.7%. Personally the scatter gun approach to testing I would have thought would have been much less efficient. Detecting one positive case for around 140 test to me is an excellent result. Of course that's just my unscientific personal opinion.

It will be interesting to see how the costs change over time with rapid antigen tests now becoming available at a much lower cost. Whilst not as accurate as PCR testing, the "new era of living with COVID-19" no longer requires us to eradicate the virus, just to reduce the spread. Anything that reduces the spread would appear to be worthwhile and if required, could be followed up with a PCR test. Overall this could reduce the need for as many PCR tests and thus the cost to the government and us as a community.

What is a rapid antigen test? Where can you buy them in Australia and how much do they cost? - ABC News

A quick check of the web finds test kits out of stock at Woolworths, but available for a pack of 5 from Chemist Warehouse online only. At about $10 per test, getting a pack for a family or a group of families just in case, may not be a bad idea. For larger organisation buying in bulk would expect to halve or better this price. Whilst less convenient, getting tested at a drive-through centre is still cheaper since it's bulk billed and we never directly see the actual cost.

It will be interesting to see what happens with the $85 COVID-19 test subsidy when it's up for review at the end of the year. A rapid antigen test for under $5 in bulk or an $85 PCR test is certainly going to be tempting for the government to consider.

Kelvin

NOTE: Nothing in this article should be taken as advice in any shape or form. I am simply sharing my observations and am not qualified in any medical capacity.