Friday, October 02, 2020

Proof indicating there's been cases of coronavirus infections on Qantas flights.

I remember reading in the media where there was no proof that people had been infected whilst flying in Australia. Now we have fairly clear evidence from the CDC in America. The flight was on the 19th of March and was the Qantas flight QF577 that left Sydney for Perth. There were 243 passengers, 60 that were infected from cruise ships and 11 that were suspect to have been infected during the flight.

https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/coronavirus/2020/10/02/jetstar-social-distancing/

To say that you can't catch coronavirus on a flight is now something that can't easily be said as there's evidence that points to the contrary.

It was interesting to read this article as it highlights so many issues we have in Australia. Flying is an activity where you are placed very close to other people. The article for the link above was about a doctor that was removed from the Jetstar plane for asking if they could move to where they felt safer. From their own statement they didn't cause an issue, was submissive, but was still removed from the plane.

I understand the air hostess's point of view that because of tracing people can't move. But that's an issue with their system. There should be a way for people to move and for that to be recorded in the system for later contract tracing if required.

Surely masks should be mandatory on all flights.

The real concern is that people can't ask for something something without fear of heavy handed law enforcement.

The good thing is we know this is the current situation in Australia. For me it will be long time until I decide to fly again. It's good that people share their experience so we can be informed and adjust for this rather difficult time.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

Update: 5 November 2020
Research article indicating infections occurred whilst flying.
https://research-repository.uwa.edu.au/en/publications/flight-associated-transmission-of-severe-acute-respiratory-syndro

Tuesday, September 29, 2020

Have a feeling there may be a class action for detention in hotel quarantine.

 I'm not legally qualified in any way, but I always felt the detention of people in quarantine for the benefit of the community should mean the people get compensated for giving up their liberty, rather than being treated like prisoners.

Reading today's article from news.com.au where there's a comment suggesting the hotel quarantine may not have been legal makes me think there's a class action waiting to happen. You can't just lock people up in rooms for 14 days and not make every effort to support those people beyond the basics.

https://www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/australia/victorias-bungled-hotel-quarantine-scheme-may-be-unlawful/news-story/fe99d5c2a77f2814ddef89d5339a2913

I suspect most people will take the attitude that people should have been locked up in hotel quarantine, but then ask yourself, what if it was you? What if you had your liberty taken away from you for 14 days through no fault of your own. I've read a lot of information published and it appears that after around 5 days some 95% of people who are infected can be tested and shown to be infected. If that's true a test down after 5 days would have shown the risk posed by the majority of these people to be very low.

My only thought really is that people who have the liberty taken away from them through no fault of their own for the benefit of the community should have been compensated. 

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/


Monday, September 28, 2020

Coronavirus Victoria site retired and coronavirus information for Victorian again lives under the Mapz site.

 About a month ago I thought I'd would see if by taking the coronavirus information I share out from under the Mapz site an set up its own site, whether or not Google would give the site some love. Google has been good in limiting bad information and bad players, which is good, but for me that also means they're giving no love to the information I provide. That didn't change with the coronavirus information now on a separate site.

So instead of having old out of date information on one site and the new information on another, I decided to move the coronavirus information and data back to the Mapz site. Now all links point to the current and up-to-date information.

I started collecting coronavirus information as I found what was coming from the government and the media wasn't well organised. The government's lack of information at the time (almost nothing useful) and then watching for articles on the internet meant I had a good handle on what was going on around me. Perhaps not great, but much better than anywhere else that I could find. I felt safer and more informed. The first site was for public exposure locations around Victoria which also provides a daily running total of cases, change in cases, deaths and community infection numbers where the cases weren't from a known source.

Public Exposure Locations In Victoria

Interestingly I found I'd collated quite a bit of information and was able to identity a fair number of the outbreaks. It wasn't until much later (late September) the Victorian government provided up-to--date figures on aged care that I realised just how much information the government had withheld. Aged care premises with dozens of cases never got mentioned by the government or the media. It turned out that around half the cases were aged care or health workers. That helped to identify the risk to the general public was about half of what the government and media would have us believe.

Outbreak locations in Victoria

Finally around June some postcode data started coming out, but unfortunately that didn't last long. Then in August the Victorian government to their credit started releasing daily figures for individual postcodes. I found their online maps difficult to use (early versions nearly impossible), and whilst it did take some work, I created a postcode map that allowed me to more easily see the number of new cases and also a rough indicated of the number of cases for a range of days over the last seven days. Now I could better see what was happening locally day and over say the past week. I had options. Now whilst the data isn't perfect because it uses residential location for postcode (even post office boxes), I suspect it's a good indication for 80% plus of cases.

Coronavirus data by postcode location in Victoria

All of the data I collect and collect is now available in the one place at www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/.

Finally, when I find information I feel may be useful to others I write a blog post such as this one. From the Coronavirus Victoria pages if you click on the News menu item you'll see only posts that related to the coronavirus and no other posts.

I hope the information helps in some way.

Kelvin Eldridge




It's good to see face shields removed from acceptable list for masks in Victoria.

 Some time ago I wrote about face shields not being the safest option to protect people in Victoria from coronavirus. The following research article from Japan now shows that face shields are ineffective.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/22/face-shields-ineffective-trapping-aerosols-japanese-supercomputer-coronavirus

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Airlines would have us believe catching coronavirus on a flight doesn't happen. Research shows otherwise.

I've read quite a articles from airlines that would lead me to believe catching coronavirus on a flight doesn't happen and it's safe to fly. Until now I haven't found any research to disprove the airlines' assertions but now research has shown people have been infected on flights, so it can and does happen.

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/09/studies-trace-covid-19-spread-international-flights

What is interesting is the research in this case was about a person in business class where the distance between passengers is greater. In addition in the case provided the number of people infected that were around the positive person was quite high with an attack rate of 62% for the business class section of the plane.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/ 

Monday, September 21, 2020

Dan Andrew's current restrictions don't make sense.

Two weeks ago Dan Andrews published a roadmap. This supposedly was based on comprehensive modelling. Yet two weeks later the state has already reached 30-50 cases. If the numbers were guiding Dan Andrews then this Sunday or sometime this week, the restrictions should have moved to what was planned for the 28th of September.

The additional problem is anyone who has been watching the numbers will have noticed there's a high chance half the cases are health workers or in age care. These are controlled environments the government should be able to control. Although to be fair, the demarcation with federal and state responsibility is really less than acceptable.

The curfew makes no sense. Taking so long to open up regional areas made no sense.

There's also many low risk activities the majority of people could participate in but instead we're locked down. I don't mind being locked down but when activities that can be down (like two people from the one family going for a short drive together or a Maccas run) the over controlling approach just doesn't seem warranted.

Yesterday I drove past the local park and it looked as crowded as the Royal Melbourne Showgrounds. Cars parked on the road since the car park was full. So people are encouraged to gather in large groups but two people who are making no contact with anyone else can't.

The government needs to follow it's plan based on the data and look for ways to allow people to participate in low risk activities. Activities where people are unlikely to need to come into contact with other people. Yes there will always be rule breakers, but the majority of Victorians are good citizens doing what they feel is right for the community.

Kelvin
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

Saturday, September 19, 2020

How to end JobSeeker payment online.

For those on JobSeeker because they're income had dropped by at least 20 per cent, that now find their work has returned to normal, you probably need to cancel the JobSeeker payment. In the good old days that meant a trip to the Centrelink Office. That appears to have changed and you can now cancel JobSeeker online using the Centrelink site. To cancel JobSeeker you can do the following.

Log on to Centrelink via MyGov

Select Payments and Claims in the menu

Select My Payment (currently in the middle column)

Select Cancel my current payment

Tick the box for I accept the declaration

Click Submit

Click Yes to confirm

Print off (or print and save to PDF) and keep a record of the change.

It's good the government has help so many people during these difficult time.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/



Thursday, September 17, 2020

Missed Aldi's shopping basket offer, don't worry, you can get them at Bunnings.

Recently I saw an article promoting Aldi's shopping basket that was coming up on one of their specials days. You know the type of news article design to grab your attention like it's real news. Some people complaining they should be free and others saying what a great idea. Is any of that real?

I certainly don't know but the advertising/article worked on me. When I go into Aldi I only need a few items and a basket would enable me to empty the items at the checkout and put them straight back into the basket after they've been scanned. Much easier than juggling plastic bags

Now as for the people who said Aldi should provided shopping baskets for free like other supermarkets, the point is you can take the basket with you, it's yours. It folds up so it doesn't take up much room in the car.

Of I went to check out the local Aldi when the special came out and they were all gone. But you know what, that's OK. I'd already checked out the brand, who makes them, where they sell their products and I found that Bunnings had exactly the same folding basket in green (a colour I prefer), but not blue or with the Aldi logo (something that really didn't faze me).

When I got home I placed an order online with Bunning using their drive and collect service and picked the basket up on the way back from Coles.

The good thing is the price was the same as Aldi, although until recently Bunnings did have the shopping basket list for $12.99. Also finding the shopping basket on the Bunnings site can be a challenge so here's the link.

https://www.bunnings.com.au/optibox-34l-green-collapsible-crate-with-handle_p0208117

Now is this really something I'll use, or will it just be another impulse buy. Things are looking good because I've used it already to carry some of my own items. Did I mention I got it to carry things other that items I buy at the supermarket, didn't think so. There's often times I want to carry things from the garage into the house as well as when we're allowed to see family and friends. I'll let you know down the track if it's a good purchase or just another poor decision.

Kelvin

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Interesting article on school fees and whether schools can force parents to pay.

 I thought I'd share the following article on what I'd consider to be non-compulsory school fees. Parents should keep in mind that schools may put parents under pressure to pay school fees that are not compulsory. I remember one school had a parent calling other parents to pay non-compulsory fees and the pressure can be considerable. There is also peer group pressure to pay the fees.

Remember it's your choice with some school fees. There schools generally won't let you know which fees aren't compulsory which also makes it harder for parents.

https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/schools-told-not-to-press-parents-into-paying-for-key-learning-materials-20200915-p55vuf.html

Kelvin Eldridge

Wednesday, September 09, 2020

Petrol price hike Melbourne - Unusual dual price hike.

I noticed around the 28th of August petrol prices in Melbourne had already started hiking to 147.9 cents per litre, then something unexpected happened. I started to see a second price group at 129.9 appear. Some petrol stations jumped to 147.9 whilst others hike their prices to 129.9.

At the moment there's really a lot of difference in prices around Melbourne from around 104.7 to 147.9. It really is worth shopping around when there's such a range of prices.

The price hike this month didn't wait to get down to the wholesale/gate price of 104.6 on the 28th of August. What I did notice was the petrol had dropped to around 108-110 cents per litre when the price hike started to occur. 

A hike of around 40 cents per litre really is too much, but I can't help thinking the behaviour of the petrol industry long term will help to destroy their own industry. The more the petrol industry puts the public offside, the more likely people will more quickly move to electric cars. It won't be because they're cheaper, it will be because you don't have to put up with the silly petrol price cycle behaviour and ridiculous price hikes. Who knows, we may see one last push of low prices and no price hikes as the petrol industry gasps it's last breath, although sometime businesses in this situation charge more to keep their margins as they know, those who haven't moved probably won't for some time.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.PetrolPricesMelbourne.com.au

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Healthcare workers continue to make up a considerable percentage of coronavirus cases.

When we look at the current lockdown Victorians are faced with, you have to wonder if perhaps the government is locking down all of Metropolitan Melbourne (and stage 3 for regional Victoria) when a considerable proportion of cases are related to two groups. Healthcare workers and Aged Care.

These two groups are contained groups, or can be contained, and would often amount to 50% or more of new cases. This isn't meant to be a reflection of these groups, just of reflection of the situation for these groups.

If you take out these groups you can almost immediately halve the number of daily cases and then you have to wonder if the Victorian government isn't being too harsh on the general public. Today I read of two elderly ladies sitting on a park bench being threatened to be arrested by police.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/online/social/man-tells-why-he-filmed-cops-around-elderly-women-in-melbourne/news-story/beba9be1a0d86f2e66b99667e5a97704

I can't drive with my partner to get takeaway which poses no (or no additional) risk to anyone. I feel if I were to eat my takeaway in the car I could also get fined by police. As a compute support consultant I've spent hours trying to find if I can provide onsite support and still don't know. To me this is absurd for the government to treat people in this way. The government needs to be more creative in what people can do that is low risk. I understand they have a problem that people break the rules. Having only one person in a car means it's easier for police to enforce rules but they've enforcing rules for the sake of enforcing rules. The police look bad and the government looks bad. You then start creating anger in the people because when things don't make sense people know.

I wonder what activities other people think should be OK.

For example I think it should be OK to order takeaway food and eat the food in the car park. Subject to that it is only yourselves and you're not meeting anyone else, or connecting with anyone else.

I think it should be OK for two people from the same household to go shopping together. Yes there is additional risk of one of the two people getting infected, but chances are they'll take less time, split the tasks and reduce the overall time, thus negativing that increased risk. And if they go to different shops, there's no additional risk compared with one person going to two shops, or two people going to one shop each.

I think people should be allowed to go for drives, as long as they don't stop and leave their car. Again this is for people from the same household. 

If you can do activities where you don't mix with other people you're not increasing the level of risk to yourself or others. With exercise, try going to the local park for a walk and see how many people you pass. That's more risk than driving in a car. In a recent bike ride to the local park I took a video and counted 82 people that I passed or passed me. To me that's a much greater risk than two people driving in a car to get takeaway together.

The problem is the government is putting laws into place that help the police enforce the laws, rather than laws that actually make people safer. Sometime doesn't feel right with this approach.

The following is a graph of the percentage of cases each day for the last three weeks for healthcare works.


During the last three weeks the average number of healthcare workers has been 37% of the total number of new cases each day. You can see in the graph on multiple occasions the percentage has exceeded 50%. These healthcare workers will infect their family and friends so if this group was considered an outbreak, you have to wonder what percentage of daily infections the group would make.

Very broad restrictions don't really make sense when a large proportion of cases is limited to sections of the population. The government needs to become for more nimble in its approach, otherwise it will crush the spirit out of the people.

The good thing is at the next election we get to vote. You can decide if you think the government's done a good job. 

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

Update: 9/9/2020
Today basically Dan Andrews confirmed restrictions on Victorians aren't because they're' required for health issues, but to make policing easier. Now it makes sense. That insight has never to my knowledge been stated before. That means people are most likely getting fined not because there's a health issue, but for taking actions that make no difference to our safety and wellbeing, but to simplify police enforcement.

At his daily press conference on Tuesday, Mr Andrews admitted that the curfew makes “the job of the Victoria Police much easier”.

https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/health/health-problems/coronavirus-victoria-brett-sutton-says-he-did-not-recommend-curfew/news-story/43e246ebaf7e5a63286084209d0f0291

You have to now start asking the question "is the curfew even necessary?" Where's the science to justify the restriction. Brett Sutton stated it wasn't based on health authority advice.

Once people start to question one of the restrictions, you can understand why people start to question many or all of the restrictions.


Saturday, September 05, 2020

Scam/ Fraud calls claiming to be Telstra/NBN using www.helpme.net

 Over the last day we're had a large increase in calls from scammers. The calls come from different numbers.

02 4049 8394
0426 264 438
0405 573 067
0486 096 857
0492 609 329


Given the number of calls I decided to let one of the calls proceed to see what the call was about. The first person gets you to test your speed of internet using www.speedtest.net. 

My speed information was:

Download: 45.03 Mbps
Upload: 1.14 Mbps
Ping: 19 ms

NOTE: This scam call was about my speed on the NBN. I don't use the NBN. I use my mobile phone to access the internet so trying to speed up my NBN service, which I don't have, is never going to work.

Once they have that information they then pass you on to a more senior person. This is a testing phrase to find susceptible people. If you've kept on the line for this you're a person they are more likely to be able to scam.

The will tell you, you have an internet speed problem and they'll fix the problem.

At this point I decided to hang up and see what would happen. I immediately received a call back on the number 03 9530 7873.

They then get you to press the Windows key plus the R key to open the run command window.

Next you're asked to type in www.helpme.net.

At this point I entered the website address into Google's virus checking site and the site came up that www.helpme.net had one hit as being a Phishing site and two hits for suspicious.

At this point I felt continuing may be more of a risk than I was prepared to take. I know this caller is a scammer. Most likely they're trying to get me to use a site that will enable them to access my computer, but I wasn't prepared to continue due to the level of risk.

At this point I pointed out that Google's virus server has reports of them being a phishing site and they immediately hung up.

Hopefully now they'll remove the number from their calling database, but who knows.

Whilst these scammers are a problem, the real problem is our telephone companies who do nothing to stop this fraudulent activity. The telcos are all gain and no responsibility. Millions have been scammed out of people and telcos continue to allow this. Politicians continue to allow this. I don't see why the telcos and politicians continue to allow scamming to continue without doing anything. It makes no sense. Scammers and crooks will continue to steal. That's what they do. But why telcos and politicians assist or do nothing really is beyond belief.

Treat every call you receive from an unknown number as a potential scammer. Chances are you'll be more right than wrong.

I've set my phone to ring with one tone for calls from people I know and another tone for calls I don't know. For the calls I don't know I let them go to voice mail. I've found if it's important the person will leave a message and I can get back to them. Most of the time no one leaves a message.

Stay safe.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.OnlineConnections.com.au

Thursday, September 03, 2020

Bunnings Drive and Collect at Eltham video

 The other day I did a drive and collect at Bunnings. Afterwards I thought it might interest people to see what the drive and collect at Bunnings was like and how long it took. The Bunnings drive and collect option is a good option if you wish to get your item fairly quickly and also have minimal contact with others.

Use this Bunnings Drive and Collect link to view the video.

Kelvin Eldridge

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Interactive self-assessment tool for coronavirus.

I was thinking of writing a tool to help guide people on what to do if they're concerned about having coronavirus. I then came across the Department of Health and Human Services interactive self-assessment tool and felt recommending their tool would be the best way to go.

You can find the interactive self-assessment tool at the following address.

https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/coronavirus-self-assessment

The government doesn't collect any information, although do keep in mind anything you enter into a form on the internet is often logged. Having said that I'm happy to use the self-assessment tool.

Give it a go if you're concerned about coronavirus. Even if you don't think you have coronavirus experiment with the tool so if you need it, you'll know what to do.

Kelvin Eldridge
https://www.mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

Under Victoria's stage 4 restrictions can people leave their home to pick up new pet.

One of the problems I've seen in the past with stage 3 restrictions was whether or not a person could pick up their new dog that was outside of Melbourne.

Keep in mind that getting a new dog isn't as simple as it once was, turning up to the local pet shop. People now wait in line for months, sometimes years until a pup of the breed they want is born. Then they have to wait until the dog is older enough to leave with them. This isn't a matter of weeks, but often months.

In the earlier case the person was able to pick up their dog outside of metropolitan Melbourne.

Find the information you need as a pet owner is not easy so when I saw an article from Agriculte Victoria I thought it might interest others.

https://agriculture.vic.gov.au/farm-management/emergency-management/coronavirus-covid-19/covid-19-faqs-for-animal-carers?_cldee=YnByZW1haml0aEB5YWhvby5jb20%3D&recipientid=contact-96e6ccad8768e911a820000d3ad0a55e-a78da420cb054a0a91b529504c4ddd01&esid=8b526490-34e0-ea11-a833-000d3ad1b063

Now how anyone would otherwise know or try to look for such an article I don't know. A link really should be provided from the Victoria government's main site for COVID-19. I've noticed different government departments doing things and that information is not linked back in any way. Another example was the recent need to have permits to go to work.

Even with this article if you're picking up a dog from outside of metropolitan Melbourne it's not specifically stated. The following are the important statements.

Yes. You can leave your home to collect a pet you purchased prior to the date this clarification was provided by government on 13 August  2020. 

and

You may travel more than 5km from your home to collect a pet, but the travel cannot be unreasonable. As with other necessary goods, it must be the closest practical location.

As always things are left open to interpretation. A dog is not like a necessary good and when you buy a dog it's at a specific location. A dog isn't like toilet paper, which can be bought at any supermarket (subject to supplies). You enter into an agreement to purchase a dog from a specific breeder and it is where they are located. Of course the other option is to ask the breeder to deliver the dog since they are providing an allowed service, but see how that goes!

The best part though is once you get past all the crap, owning and loving your new pet will be worth all the effort.

Kelvin Eldridge
https://www.mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/


Sunday, August 23, 2020

Estimate of turnaround times for coronavirus test results in Victoria.

I was looking at the data I've accumulated on coronavirus cases in Victoria and decided to crosscheck two series of data. The cases each day in Victoria and the number of tests taken each day in Victoria. As it turns out, there was a very interesting pattern that reveals some useful information.

The following is a graph of the daily cases in Victoria.


The following is a graph of the number of daily tests in Victoria. Prior to the 3rd of August the number of tests were estimates, whereas since the 3rd it appears these numbers are been automated and are now far more accurate.


What was interesting was a very obvious double spike and large dip in the number of tests on the 9th, 10th and 11th of August. Due to the significant number of daily tests (that were nearly double the usual number of tests), interestingly the results could be seen three days later in the number of reported cases.

We can now quite easily see the relationship between when the tests were done and when the test results were known. Keep in mind the data is reported the next day.

We can see it takes roughly three days from when tests are done to when the number of cases is reported to the government. Although it is not known if the test result is reported to the person at the same time, or whether that might take another day or two.

Kelvin Eldridge
Victorian coronavirus outbreaks
Victorian coronavirus cases by postcode
Victorian coronavirus public exposure locations
5km Radius map

NOTE: If you click on the graphs you'll be able to see the detail better.

Saturday, August 22, 2020

Map of coronavirus outbreaks in Victoria.

 I thought it would be interesting to create a map of coronavirus outbreaks in Victoria. The reason is many aged care facilities have had large outbreaks, so areas may look like there's a large number of cases, but actually the cases are limited and contained to a single location, or that's what I thought.

https://www.mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/outbreaks/

As it turns out things are much more complicated. In some areas such as Melton there's been a large number of cases, but no large outbreak, although do keep in mind that data I've gathered isn't complete. Cranbourne is similar.

In Kilsyth there's been a single large outbreak at the Kirkbrea aged care of 132, but according to postcode data as of today, there's only been 79 cases. That indicates a large number of workers from outside the area have been infected with the coronavirus.

In the Craigieburn postcode area there's been 833 cases. There's also been an outbreak at Arcare Craigieburn of 94 and Fresh Plus of 7. This would indicate a large number of residents contracting coronavirus.

It really is interesting to look at the data and see things you wouldn't otherwise see. To put to rest assumptions you've made that are often wrong,

I've often said our world is crazy because often we can only get a job quite a distance from where we live, when there's probably a suitable job somewhere close to us. Some of the coronavirus postcode figures such as Melton, Kilsyth and Craigieburn show just how large the number of people are who are travelling to work out of their areas. It's also one of the problems with the current lockdown strategy. Those who are working are the ones who are more than likely transmitting the virus and aren't locked down, yet those who aren't working and not seeing anyone are locked down. Not an easy issue to deal with.

Kelvin Eldridge
Victorian coronavirus outbreaks
Victorian coronavirus cases by postcode
Victorian coronavirus public exposure locations
5km Radius map

Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Victoria - Stay at Home Directions (Restricted Areas) (No 12) - Can I drive to a place to exercise.

 It can be quite difficult to find the actual legal documents when it comes to information from the Victorian government. One particularly important document is the Stay at Home Directions.

The following is the latest Stay at Home Directions (Restricted Areas) (No 12) which covers beginning at 11:59:00pm on 16 August 2020 and ending at 11:59:00pm on 13 September 2020.

https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/stay-home-directions-restricted-areas-no-12-doc

Whilst there's a lot of information written in the press, the problem is the more they write the more they introduce ambiguities. In fact, reading the Stay at Home Directions can be quite difficult, thus making sure you're doing the right thing can be hard. The real problem is whilst you may feel you're doing the right thing, if a police officer doesn't think you are, they can fine you. Yes you can take it to court, but then you risk an even greater fine and costs. 

The reason for this post is to look at what is said about driving to exercise.

On page 4 in section 1AE the following is stated.

(1AE) Where a person leaves the premises under subclause (1)(d) (exercise), the person must not:

(a) leave their premises for a period longer than 1 hour; or

(b) use a vehicle, except where it is not reasonably practicable for the person to undertake exercise without using a vehicle. 

Note: if a person needs to access an area within 5km of their premises for exercise, but can only do so due to mobility (such as a parent with a small child or a person with disability) or safety reasons (such as needing to exercise in an area with greater passive surveillance) by using a vehicle, then it would not be reasonably practicable for that person to undertake exercise without using a vehicle. 

There are a number of reasons there can be considerable confusion around exercise.

1. First there's the word travel and we are allowed to travel up to 5km.

When we travel we think of using a form of transport. We travel overseas. Can't do that easily without a plane. I don't travel to the local park, I walk. When I go to the local shops I travel by car.

So using the word travel, or you cannot travel more than 5km, implies usage of some form of vehicle. Travel is thus a bad word to use in this situation and causes considerable confusion.

You'll notice in the legislation in the section shown above, the word travel is not used. The word travel however is used quite considerably on the government's coronavirus website when referring to exercise.

2. There's the distance. You're allowed to travel up to 5km from your home to exercise. That means a 10km round trip. Try doing that in the one hour that's allowed without using a vehicle. It simply doesn't make sense. The implication is the use of a vehicle would be allowed if you didn't read the legislation.

3. You can exercise with one other person outside of your household.

Initially this didn't make sense to me, but then someone suggested, as a women, they wouldn't feel comfortable exercising alone, so it makes sense for safety and could equally apply to males (unless of course you're applying one set of beliefs about women and another for men).

Now given that you can use your car to travel to exercise if there's a question of safety, and exercising alone could be a safety issue, then travelling by car in theory, could be allowed if exercising with another person.

The real problem is the legislation often appears to be written to capture more people rather than less. By leaving things unclear the law can be applied either way and it may not be in your favour. Thus instead of doing what we're allowed, or should be allowed to do, we don't do something because of fear.

The real question I have now is why are we allowed to exercise with another person outside of our household. If we can exercise with them, why then can't we visit them (assuming no other people involved).

That's where the real problem is. The government has allowed people to exercise with another person as an exception, but that inconsistency then makes us start to think, things don't make sense, and if the rules don't make sense, people start to ignore the rules. That's when we are all in trouble because the virus spreads.

Keep in mind people ARE getting fined for driving to a spot and then exercising, and police have issued a warning.


You can argue it's allowed by the legislation as you felt it was safer to drive to a place with more passive security rather than walking along secluded streets, but see how far that goes with the police officer.

This is another one of those crazy situations the government has created.

The real problem is us as people. Want can find a way for us to exercise that doesn't require us to drive or meet up with other people. The problem is when we want to do something we justify it. I want to walk at a particular park because it's a nicer park. There's a safety risk because between where I am and the park there's magpies that attack. It's safer to drive, so I do. Of course I could just walk along the footpath near where I live and still get the same amount of exercise.

We all have choices. I honestly don't know half the time what the heck the government is trying to get me to do or not do. To me they're doing a terrible job and the aged care cases of coronavirus is a stark reminder of how badly they're doing. However, all of that doesn't matter. My health is my concern and doing the best for my health is about doing the best I can. It has little to do with the government. That is the choice we all have.

It really is safer when it comes to coronavirus not to exercise with a friend. You really don't know who else they are seeing. Popular parks really are crowded and the number of people you'll pass is a risk. Is it really worth it?

Kelvin Eldridge

Update: 19/08/2020
A couple of hours after writing this post I noticed in the media others were suggesting the rule that you couldn't drive to where you wanted to exercise was being questioned. Subsequently the article below appeared. It appears the rule that you can't drive to exercise is being removed effective immediately, with the changes going through on Friday. A small but sensible adjustment.






Wednesday, August 12, 2020

Change in active coronavirus cases in Victoria by Postcode.

 The Victoria government has released two lots of data for coronavirus cases in Victoria. One for the 31st of July and the second for the 6th of August. I've created a map which shows both of these sets of data.

I thought I’d let you know I added the change in active cases in the postcode map.

https://www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/postcode/

However one thing I really wanted to know was the new number of cases in each postcode. Unfortunately the Victorian government choose not to release that data. They only released the number of active cases in the second lot of data on the 6th of August.

All we can see is the change in active cases. Unfortunately that means we can't always tell if there's new cases for an area because new cases may be offset by active cases no longer being active (people are now negative for coronavirus). Having said that some data is better than no data.

What I personally am interested in is the number of cases and change of cases in my own area and the areas around me. The option to show the 20 Nearest postcode gives me that information on the map, plus also lists the information below the map making it easier to quickly see what change has occurred. You can select the 20 Nearest option in the menu or use the following link.

https://www.mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/postcode/mobile/

Remember you on a desktop or notebook computer you can simply hover your mouse over a marker to see further details. On a mobile device you need to click on a marker to see further details (this can also be done on a notebook or desktop computer).

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/

Regional areas Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo, Traralgon, Colac and possibly Shepparton to watch for coronavirus.

 When Victoria went into tighter restrictions for Metropolitan Melbourne the one area this didn't make sense for was Geelong. There probably wasn't enough cases to warrant Geelong also going into tighter restrictions, but the problem was the large number of cases in the western Melbourne area meant the potential exposure appeared to be quite high. Surely there's many people in the west who also work in Geelong!

Now a few weeks later we can see the Victorian regional areas where the numbers are increasing. If you look at the map I've created and zoom out, you'll see a couple of regional areas are having problems with coronavirus.

The areas of concern should be: Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo, Traralgon, Colac and possibly Shepparton.

All of these regional areas appear to be experiencing a considerable number of coronavirus cases and perhaps stage 4 restrictions should be considered for those regions for a short period of time.

It did appear that Colac themselves went into tighter restrictions and it is good to see the local areas taking acting and not waiting for the Victorian government.

Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/