Whilst the data I'm recording relating to coronavirus is for Victoria, sometimes it's good to be able to see the information for all of Australia. I decided to look for this information and found the following government site.
https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-current-situation-and-case-numbers
For me the main number I'm looking for is the locally acquired cases where there's been no direct link to someone coming into the country or a contact of a person coming into the country.
Currently for Australia that figure is around 9.3% of cases.
Had the government moved more quickly to close our borders and isolate those coming into Australia, the total number I suspect would be have been less. I tend to think in the scheme of things that's an easier task. Not easy, but easier. This has been done thank goodness. Before this too many people coming into the country infected their contacts and others. The contacts are easier to identify, but not the others. Others that they wouldn't know they connected with.
Ultimately had the government moved more quickly the local community infection should have been lower, or in an ideal world almost nonexistent, but it's impossible to lock down everything.
To me it's the locally acquired cases that are important. The government talks about flattening the curve but this is relatively easy once the borders are closed and those coming in are in mandatory isolated. The curve will flatten, however the figure to watch is the locally acquired cases.
If the locally acquired cases grow what we'll see is the curve will naturally start to flatten fairly quickly, but then the curve will start to increase again. That is what we really have to watch.
It's hard to imagine the internal lock down, social distancing and what some people would call "the police state" situation is necessary, but if those locally acquired cases increase, that's the probably the main option to slow the curve down.
What's missing for us who like to know more is to know who is included in the locally acquired cases where the contact is not identified. For example do doctors and nurses who are dealing with multiple cases fall into this category? It would be nice to have more information. The more information we have the better decisions we can make.
Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/
https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-current-situation-and-case-numbers
For me the main number I'm looking for is the locally acquired cases where there's been no direct link to someone coming into the country or a contact of a person coming into the country.
Currently for Australia that figure is around 9.3% of cases.
Had the government moved more quickly to close our borders and isolate those coming into Australia, the total number I suspect would be have been less. I tend to think in the scheme of things that's an easier task. Not easy, but easier. This has been done thank goodness. Before this too many people coming into the country infected their contacts and others. The contacts are easier to identify, but not the others. Others that they wouldn't know they connected with.
Ultimately had the government moved more quickly the local community infection should have been lower, or in an ideal world almost nonexistent, but it's impossible to lock down everything.
To me it's the locally acquired cases that are important. The government talks about flattening the curve but this is relatively easy once the borders are closed and those coming in are in mandatory isolated. The curve will flatten, however the figure to watch is the locally acquired cases.
If the locally acquired cases grow what we'll see is the curve will naturally start to flatten fairly quickly, but then the curve will start to increase again. That is what we really have to watch.
It's hard to imagine the internal lock down, social distancing and what some people would call "the police state" situation is necessary, but if those locally acquired cases increase, that's the probably the main option to slow the curve down.
What's missing for us who like to know more is to know who is included in the locally acquired cases where the contact is not identified. For example do doctors and nurses who are dealing with multiple cases fall into this category? It would be nice to have more information. The more information we have the better decisions we can make.
Kelvin Eldridge
www.Mapz.com.au/coronavirusvictoria/
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